Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 17/07, 16:00
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Spencer Johnson
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Spencer Johnson
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
5-5 (W-L)
Spencer Johnson
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1482 · Spencer Johnson 1619
| Coleman Wong | Spencer Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spencer Johnson (rating 1482 vs 1619).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 8 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Spencer Johnson is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Spencer Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.9 | 12.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 15.1 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 23.3% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Borna Gojo Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexander Blockx French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Zdenek Kolar French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Nile Ung M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Spencer Johnson?
Our model gives 54% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.