Tennis · M25 Louisville · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Aleksa Ciric vs Alejandro Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksa Ciric
Alejandro Moreno
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksa Ciric
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Moreno
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksa Ciric 1595 · Alejandro Moreno 1566
| Aleksa Ciric | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aleksa Ciric | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.9 | 11.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksa Ciric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/05 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Perez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Alexander Baez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Carlos Guerrero Alvarez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alex Kuperstein UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksa Ciric vs Alejandro Moreno?
Our model gives 52% to Aleksa Ciric, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.