Tennis · M25 Louisville · 16/07, 17:30
Prediction: Teodor Davidov vs Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Teodor Davidov
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Teodor Davidov
5-5 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Teodor Davidov 1476 · Ozan Baris 1560
| Teodor Davidov | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1476 vs 1560).
Statistics
| Teodor Davidov | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.3 | 11.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Teodor Davidov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | William Manning M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Oliver Sanders M25 Louisville |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Ryan Haviland M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/04 | Liam Draxl Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Miguel Tobon M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 25/02 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/02 | Louis Wessels M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Karue Sell M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/02 | John Sperle M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Boulais M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Teodor Davidov vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 75% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.