Tennis · M25 Louisville · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs William Jansen
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Frusina
William Jansen
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Frusina
7-3 (W-L)
William Jansen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1542 · William Jansen 1514
| Alexander Frusina | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Frusina | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-7 | 12.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Frusina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Ryan Colby M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Jon Gamble M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
William Jansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Joshua Peck M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Dev Javia M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/01 | Sachin Palta UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Jordan Chang UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/01 | Liam Kilmer UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs William Jansen?
Our model gives 54% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.