Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1553 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1586
| Alex Molcan | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 2.1-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.3 | 15.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.6
Over 21.5: 73% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 27% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Ziga Sesko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-31 | L |
| 03/07 | Marton Fucsovics Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model gives 58% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.