Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 16/07, 13:00
Prediction: Zoziya Kardava vs Kira Pavlova
Prediction summary
Winner
Zoziya Kardava
Kira Pavlova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zoziya Kardava
8-2 (W-L)
Kira Pavlova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zoziya Kardava 1552 · Kira Pavlova 1466
| Zoziya Kardava | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zoziya Kardava (rating 1552 vs 1466).
- Zoziya Kardava is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Zoziya Kardava makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Zoziya Kardava | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.6 | 8.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zoziya Kardava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Demi Tran W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Alice Ferlito W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Seda Baslilar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Khrystyna Vozniak W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Carlota Corte W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Kira Pavlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Agra Amorim W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Matilde Mariani W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Gaia Squarcialupi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/05 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/04 | Katherine Sebov W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zoziya Kardava vs Kira Pavlova?
Our model gives 59% to Kira Pavlova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.