Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 16/07, 11:30
Prediction: Ruien Zhang vs Han Shi
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruien Zhang
Han Shi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ruien Zhang
2-8 (W-L)
Han Shi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ruien Zhang
0–1
Han Shi
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruien Zhang 1486 · Han Shi 1594
| Ruien Zhang | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1486 vs 1594).
- Han Shi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ruien Zhang 0–1 Han Shi (1).
- Note: Ruien Zhang makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ruien Zhang | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.5 | 12.5-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 62.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Ruien Zhang 0 – 1 Han Shi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ruien Zhang 0–1 Han Shi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/24 ITF W35 Tianjin | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruien Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Jordina Font W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Abbagnato W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Oceane Babel W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Katerina Mandelikova W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Sofya Lansere W35 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Sofya Lansere W100 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Han Shi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruien Zhang vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 76% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.