Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 16/07, 15:00
Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Chloe Noel
Prediction summary
Winner
Martyna Kubka
Chloe Noel
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka
8-2 (W-L)
Chloe Noel
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1555 · Chloe Noel 1565
| Martyna Kubka | Chloe Noel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 42.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Martyna Kubka | Chloe Noel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.8 | 11.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martyna Kubka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jimena Gomez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Shkutova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Alina Korneeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Chloe Noel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Polina Isakova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andre Lukosiute W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Min Liu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Valentina Carreras Medina W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Mia Slama W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Chloe Noel?
Our model gives 68% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.