Tennis · M25 Louisville · 16/07, 16:00

Prediction: Timo Legout vs Oliver Bonding

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Timo Legout Oliver Bonding
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Timo Legout 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLW
Oliver Bonding 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Timo Legout 1572 · Oliver Bonding 1536
Timo LegoutOliver Bonding
Our model55%45%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Timo LegoutOliver Bonding
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 80% (5) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.6-912-10.3
Aces1.64.5
Double faults2.12.9
1st serve %72.7%73.9%
Break %55.3%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Timo Legout

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Donald Nikolas Stoot
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-4 W
11/07 Kenta Miyoshi
M25 Laval
0-2 10-13 L
10/07 Mikael Arseneault
M25 Laval
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Duncan Chan
M25 Laval
2-0 13-9 W
08/07 Justin Roberts
M25 Laval
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Braden Shick
Challenger Cary · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
05/07 Edward Winter
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
04/07 Ozan Baris
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Blaise Bicknell
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Oliver Bonding

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Arda Azkara
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
22/06 Federico Coria
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
10/06 Alexander Rozin
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/06 Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
06/06 Dmitry Popko
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/06 Marko Mesarovic
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/06 Justin Roberts
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/06 Nicolas Arseneault
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
20/12 Patrick Schoen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 16-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Timo Legout vs Oliver Bonding?

Our model gives 61% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.