Tennis · Challenger Granby · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavsky
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Draxl
Daniel Milavsky
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Draxl
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Milavsky
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Draxl 1524 · Daniel Milavsky 1503
| Liam Draxl | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Liam Draxl | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.7 | 11.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Stephen Slocombe M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Christian Langmo Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavsky?
Our model gives 57% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.