Tennis · Challenger Granby · 17/07, 16:00
Prediction: August Holmgren vs Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
August Holmgren
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
August Holmgren
4-6 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · August Holmgren 1507 · Justin Boulais 1488
| August Holmgren | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: August Holmgren makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| August Holmgren | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.6 | 12.2-12.3 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Liam Broady Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Toby Samuel Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in August Holmgren vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 59% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.