Tennis · Challenger Granby · 17/07, 16:00
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
5-5 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandar Vukic
1–0
Alexis Galarneau
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1501 · Alexis Galarneau 1542
| Aleksandar Vukic | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexis Galarneau (rating 1501 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Vukic 1–0 Alexis Galarneau (1).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.3 | 13.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Aleksandar Vukic 1 – 0 Alexis Galarneau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandar Vukic 1–0 Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/22 Challenger Calgary | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | James Duckworth ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 52% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.