Tennis · Challenger Granby · 18/07, 17:30
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
August Holmgren
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
6-4 (W-L)
August Holmgren
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1498 · August Holmgren 1507
| Aleksandar Vukic | August Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: August Holmgren makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | August Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.2 | 12.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 35% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | James Duckworth ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Liam Broady Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren?
Our model gives 54% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.