Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mak Mikovic vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Prediction summary
Winner
Mak Mikovic
Filiberto Fumagalli
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mak Mikovic
6-4 (W-L)
Filiberto Fumagalli
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mak Mikovic 1503 · Filiberto Fumagalli 1544
| Mak Mikovic | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1503 vs 1544).
Statistics
| Mak Mikovic | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.7 | 9.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 66.2% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mak Mikovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Matthew Shapiro M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Joao Portugal UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Oskar Jansson UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Eliot Nobel UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Melvin Kumar M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Mathis Bondaz M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mak Mikovic vs Filiberto Fumagalli?
Our model gives 61% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.