Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Matic Hribar
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Bocchi
Matic Hribar
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Bocchi
6-4 (W-L)
Matic Hribar
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Bocchi 1520 · Matic Hribar 1494
| Lorenzo Bocchi | Matic Hribar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matic Hribar makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Bocchi | Matic Hribar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.2 | 9.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 34.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Bocchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Glib Sekachov M15 Nova Gorica |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/06 | William Mirarchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Matic Hribar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Adam Jilly M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Cyrus Mahjoob UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Vid Mohar UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Matic Dimic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Niklas Waldner M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Store |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alp Horoz M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Bocchi vs Matic Hribar?
Our model gives 71% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.