Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 16/07, 11:00

Prediction: Tomas Lanik vs Nicolas Parizzia

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Tomas Lanik Nicolas Parizzia
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Lanik 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLWL
Nicolas Parizzia 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tomas Lanik 1505 · Nicolas Parizzia 1469
Tomas LanikNicolas Parizzia
Our model55%45%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tomas LanikNicolas Parizzia
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-10.410.6-11.9
Aces6.44.9
Double faults2.92.8
1st serve %73.1%72.2%
Break %24%44.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tomas Lanik

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Dominik Kellovsky
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 14-11 W
14/07 Zeno Godi
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
24/06 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Borys Zgola
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
17/06 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
16/06 Timo Rosenkranz Koenig
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
07/06 Taro Daniel
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
24/05 Peter Fajta
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/05 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Nicolas Parizzia

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Benedikt Szerencsits
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-9 W
05/07 Theo Papamalamis
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
25/06 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/06 Benedikt Szerencsits
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Sandro Kopp
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
27/05 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/05 Giuseppe La Vela
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
20/05 Noah Lopez
M15 Litija · ~Clay
2-1 20-18 W
05/05 Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
04/05 Leonardo Taddia
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tomas Lanik vs Nicolas Parizzia?

Our model gives 54% to Nicolas Parizzia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.