Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 16/07, 09:30

Prediction: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Francesco Ferrari

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Dimitris Sakellaridis Francesco Ferrari
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitris Sakellaridis 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLW
Francesco Ferrari 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1528 · Francesco Ferrari 1522
Dimitris SakellaridisFrancesco Ferrari
Our model51%49%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Dimitris SakellaridisFrancesco Ferrari
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.7-10.69.8-8.5
Aces1.70.8
Double faults2.41.4
1st serve %59%69.5%
Break %47.5%37.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Matic Kriznik
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Michael Savano
M15 Store
1-2 16-15 L
01/07 Bozo Barun
M15 Store
2-0 12-2 W
26/06 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
23/06 Nicolas Jadoun
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 13-13 W
18/06 Mili Poljicak
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Jan Kupcic
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
11/06 Marvin Moeller
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Stepan Baum
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W

Francesco Ferrari

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 14-13 W
02/07 Massimo Giunta
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Ali Missoum
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-0 6-0 W
30/06 Alexander Chepik
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Ghali Komat
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Reda Bennani
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
09/06 Caheer Warik
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
04/06 Denis Klok
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
03/06 Peetu Pohjola
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Andreas Messis
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Francesco Ferrari?

Our model gives 57% to Dimitris Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.