Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maria Golovina vs Melisa Ercan
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Golovina
Melisa Ercan
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Golovina
5-5 (W-L)
Melisa Ercan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Golovina 1518 · Melisa Ercan 1567
| Maria Golovina | Melisa Ercan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melisa Ercan (rating 1518 vs 1567).
- Note: Maria Golovina makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Melisa Ercan makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Maria Golovina | Melisa Ercan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.6 | 10.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Valentina Ryser W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Xinxin Yao W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Melisa Ercan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Ela Plosnik W35 Don Benito |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikoletta Muller W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Eva Panova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Golovina vs Melisa Ercan?
Our model gives 58% to Maria Golovina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.