Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Liv Boulard vs Justina Mikulskyte

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Liv Boulard Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Liv Boulard 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Justina Mikulskyte 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liv Boulard 1531 · Justina Mikulskyte 1505
Liv BoulardJustina Mikulskyte
Our model54%46%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Liv Boulard makes many double faults (4.3/match).
  • Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Liv BoulardJustina Mikulskyte
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.1-1
Games (G-P)11.6-10.39-10.3
Aces2.40.6
Double faults4.34.5
1st serve %62.3%54.9%
Break %46.7%44%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liv Boulard

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Gina Marie Dittmann
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 16-15 W
13/07 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 16-13 W
12/07 Carlota Corte
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 14-8 W
06/07 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/07 Polina Kudermetova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Paula Ormaechea
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/06 Emma Bousquet
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Jenny Lim
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Hanna Bougouffa
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Justina Mikulskyte

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 13-10 W
07/07 Chloe Paquet
W75 The Hague
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Lucia Bronzetti
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Carol Zhao
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
03/06 Alicia Herrero Linana
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
27/05 Sofia Costoulas
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 3-11 L
22/05 Caroline Werner
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
21/05 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
20/05 Salma Drugdova
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
19/05 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liv Boulard vs Justina Mikulskyte?

Our model gives 61% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.