Tennis · M25 Louisville · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Oliver Okonkwo vs Alejandro Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Okonkwo
Alejandro Moreno
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Okonkwo
1-9 (W-L)
Alejandro Moreno
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Okonkwo 1476 · Alejandro Moreno 1570
| Oliver Okonkwo | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moreno (rating 1476 vs 1570).
- Alejandro Moreno is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oliver Okonkwo | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.9 | 11.7-7.9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 20.8% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 4-7 | L |
| 07/07 | Liam Krall M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Ben Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Tristan McCormick M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alex Kuperstein UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Murilo Burckhardt UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Okonkwo vs Alejandro Moreno?
Our model gives 51% to Oliver Okonkwo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.