Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 16/07, 00:00
Prediction: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Spencer Johnson
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeffrey John Wolf
Spencer Johnson
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Jeffrey John Wolf
7-3 (W-L)
Spencer Johnson
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeffrey John Wolf 1562 · Spencer Johnson 1630
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Spencer Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spencer Johnson (rating 1562 vs 1630).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 49.8% break avg.
- Spencer Johnson is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Spencer Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-10.7 | 12.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 47% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeffrey John Wolf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Axel Nefve M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-8 | L |
| 07/05 | Jordan Lee M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Raphael Perot M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Clement Tabur Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Nile Ung M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeffrey John Wolf vs Spencer Johnson?
Our model gives 53% to Jeffrey John Wolf, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.