Tennis · M25 Louisville · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: William Manning vs Teodor Davidov
Prediction summary
Winner
William Manning
Teodor Davidov
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
William Manning
5-5 (W-L)
Teodor Davidov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Manning 1528 · Teodor Davidov 1478
| William Manning | Teodor Davidov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours William Manning (rating 1528 vs 1478).
- William Manning dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 55.4% break avg.
Statistics
| William Manning | Teodor Davidov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.1 | 9.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 Louisville |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ezekiel Clark M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Teodor Davidov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Oliver Sanders M25 Louisville |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Ryan Haviland M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/04 | Liam Draxl Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Miguel Tobon M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 25/02 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/02 | Louis Wessels M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Karue Sell M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/02 | John Sperle M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/02 | Nikolas Stoot M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Manning vs Teodor Davidov?
Our model gives 68% to William Manning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.