Tennis · M25 Louisville · 15/07, 17:30

Prediction: Jon Gamble vs Maximus Dussault

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Jon Gamble Maximus Dussault
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jon Gamble 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLWLLL
Maximus Dussault 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jon Gamble 1490 · Maximus Dussault 1526
Jon GambleMaximus Dussault
Our model45%55%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jon GambleMaximus Dussault
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.4-1.1
Games (G-P)9.5-10.811.2-11.4
Aces22.4
Double faults2.72.4
1st serve %61%69.4%
Break %40.7%43.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jon Gamble

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Alexander Frusina
M25 Louisville
0-2 2-12 L
05/07 Agustin Mastri
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/07 Corey Craig
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
03/07 Nicholas Mekhael
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
20/06 Sklar Phillips
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Junior T Pichardo
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Matthew Dubas
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
16/06 Daniil Berezin
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/06 Jordan Reznik
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
30/05 Aaron Eliscu
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard
2-1 15-11 W

Maximus Dussault

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Zachery Foster
M25 Louisville
2-0 13-6 W
08/07 Trevor Svajda
M25 Dallas
1-2 12-17 L
07/07 Mitchell Sheldon
M25 Dallas
2-0 11-7 W
19/06 Gavin Young
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Ozan Baris
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-1 12-13 W
17/06 Marko Miladinovic
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Zsombor Velcz
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-1 10-9 W
09/06 William Manning
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/01 Matthis Ross
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
03/01 JP Day
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-1 15-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jon Gamble vs Maximus Dussault?

Our model gives 67% to Maximus Dussault, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.