Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 16/07, 17:00
Prediction: Yibing Wu vs Bu Yunchaokete
Prediction summary
Winner
Yibing Wu
Bu Yunchaokete
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yibing Wu
4-6 (W-L)
Bu Yunchaokete
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yibing Wu 1467 · Bu Yunchaokete 1582
| Yibing Wu | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bu Yunchaokete (rating 1467 vs 1582).
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Bu Yunchaokete is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yibing Wu | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 17% (6) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.3 | 13-11.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 20/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Thijs Boogaard ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
Bu Yunchaokete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Hugo Dellien Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yibing Wu vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 56% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.