Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 15/07, 20:00
Prediction: Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar Suresh
Prediction summary
Winner
Rio Noguchi
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Noguchi
3-7 (W-L)
Dhakshineswar Suresh
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rio Noguchi 1474 · Dhakshineswar Suresh 1581
| Rio Noguchi | Dhakshineswar Suresh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dhakshineswar Suresh (rating 1474 vs 1581).
- Rio Noguchi dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 47.9% break avg.
- Dhakshineswar Suresh is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rio Noguchi | Dhakshineswar Suresh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13.6 | 11.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 25.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Patrick Brady Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Francesco Maestrelli French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 13/07 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Guy Den Ouden Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/02 | Jesper De Jong Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/01 | Matthew Forbes M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar Suresh?
Our model gives 56% to Dhakshineswar Suresh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.