Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 16/07, 17:00
Prediction: Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Forbes
Jie Cui
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Forbes
6-4 (W-L)
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Forbes
1–0
Jie Cui
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Forbes 1522 · Jie Cui 1487
| Matthew Forbes | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matthew Forbes dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 47.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matthew Forbes 1–0 Jie Cui (1).
- Note: Matthew Forbes makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Matthew Forbes | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.3 | 11.6-10 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Matthew Forbes 1 – 0 Jie Cui (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Forbes 1–0 Jie Cui
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 M25 Dallas | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Forbes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/02 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01 | William Grant M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 06/11 | Sasha Colleu ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Jie Cui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Jesse Delaney M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/05 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 50% to Matthew Forbes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.