Tennis · Challenger Granby · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: August Holmgren vs Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
August Holmgren
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
August Holmgren
4-6 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · August Holmgren 1498 · Aidan Mayo 1502
| August Holmgren | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: August Holmgren makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| August Holmgren | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.4 | 14.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Liam Broady Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Toby Samuel Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/05 | Johannus Monday Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/05 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/04 | Andy Andrade Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in August Holmgren vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 60% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.