Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
6-4 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Van Assche
2–0
Titouan Droguet
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1599 · Titouan Droguet 1567
| Luca Van Assche | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Luca Van Assche 2–0 Titouan Droguet (2).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-11.5 | 11.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 50% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 50% · 1.80
H2H · Luca Van Assche 2 – 0 Titouan Droguet (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Van Assche 2–0 Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Challenger Quimper | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/10/24 Challenger Roanne | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Brandon Nakashima French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-29 | L |
| 25/05 | Vilius Gaubas French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 21-17 | W |
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Jerome Kym Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 51% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.