Prediction: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Damir Dzumhur
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
6-4 (W-L)
Damir Dzumhur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1547 · Damir Dzumhur 1507
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (rating 1547 vs 1507).
Statistics
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.1 | 11.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.6
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/07 | Marc Majdandzic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Evans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-28 | L |
| 21/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Daniil Glinka French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Mackenzie McDonald French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 23/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Mikhail Kukushkin ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 56% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.