Prediction: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1434 · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1487
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Merida Aguilar (rating 1434 vs 1487).
Statistics
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.9 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-15.6 | 11.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.2
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Karen Khachanov Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexander Bublik Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Nuno Borges French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Tommy Paul ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/05 | Terence Atmane ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/05 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 28/04 | Arthur Fils ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ziga Sesko ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 16-22 | L |
| 13/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Ben Shelton French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Our model gives 50% to Tomas Martin Etcheverry, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.