Prediction: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Prediction summary
Winner
Flavio Cobolli
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estimated games
27.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Flavio Cobolli
4-6 (W-L)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Flavio Cobolli
0–1
Roman Andres Burruchaga
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flavio Cobolli 1577 · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1439
| Flavio Cobolli | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flavio Cobolli (rating 1577 vs 1439).
- Flavio Cobolli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Flavio Cobolli 0–1 Roman Andres Burruchaga (1).
- Note: Roman Andres Burruchaga makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Flavio Cobolli | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.3-1.4 | 0.7-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 19.1-18 | 10.6-14.3 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +5.7
Over 21.5: 84% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 16% · 1.83
H2H · Flavio Cobolli 0 – 1 Roman Andres Burruchaga (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flavio Cobolli 0–1 Roman Andres Burruchaga
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/21 M15 Sharm El Sheikh | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 02/07 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Mariano Navone Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 15/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-28 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 01/06 | Zachary Svajda French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 30/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
Roman Andres Burruchaga
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 12-23 | L |
| 19/05 | Luciano Darderi ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/05 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga?
Our model gives 68% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.