Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 15/07, 17:30
Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerome Kym
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
26Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym
6-4 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1553 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1481
| Jerome Kym | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1553 vs 1481).
- Jerome Kym dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Jerome Kym is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jerome Kym makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Jerome Kym | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-13.7 | 13.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 77% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +2.5
Over 23.5: 67% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 33% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 28-27 | L |
| 24/06 | August Holmgren Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 20/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tomas Machac ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Casper Ruud ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 27/04 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 54% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.