Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 15/07, 14:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Ferri vs Melios Efstathiou
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Ferri
Melios Efstathiou
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Ferri
5-5 (W-L)
Melios Efstathiou
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Ferri 1469 · Melios Efstathiou 1539
| Lorenzo Ferri | Melios Efstathiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melios Efstathiou (rating 1469 vs 1539).
- Melios Efstathiou is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Ferri | Melios Efstathiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.2 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 41% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Ferri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Maxwell Castle M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Markus Molder M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jakub Hrynkiewicz M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/05 | Gabriele Volpi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Melios Efstathiou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Marko Retelj M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Elijah Sanogo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Christof Schaertlin Coffey M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/04 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/04 | Alex Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Ferri vs Melios Efstathiou?
Our model gives 67% to Melios Efstathiou, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.