Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 15/07, 14:00

Prediction: Maximilian Figl vs Leonardo Iemmi

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Maximilian Figl Leonardo Iemmi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Figl 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLWW
Leonardo Iemmi 2-8 (W-L)
LWLWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maximilian Figl 1423 · Leonardo Iemmi 1412
Maximilian FiglLeonardo Iemmi
Our model52%48%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maximilian FiglLeonardo Iemmi
Win %20%20%
Win % · Clay 13% (8) 0% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.60.5-1.7
Games (G-P)9.1-12.38.2-11.8
Aces1.51.4
Double faults3.53.1
1st serve %60.4%59.8%
Break %22.5%29.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maximilian Figl

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Stefano D'Agostino
M15 Store
1-2 13-15 L
01/07 Leyton Rivera
M15 Store
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Nik Mikovic
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
16/06 Pablo Aunion
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
10/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/05 Calvin Mueller
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
26/05 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/05 Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
06/05 Pranav Karthik
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
30/04 Nino Ehrenschneider
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Leonardo Iemmi

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Samuel Rovai
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 11-10 W
05/07 Henry Bernet
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Gian Marco Ortenzi
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
04/05 Francesco Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/04 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
17/03 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Rovinj · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/02 Nico Hipfl
M25 Trento · ~Hard
1-2 10-13 L
27/10 Noah Thurner
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
26/10 Daniel Lechner
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
ITF M15 Bologna · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maximilian Figl vs Leonardo Iemmi?

Our model gives 58% to Maximilian Figl, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.