Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 15/07, 09:30
Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Vincent Dullinger
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Ferrari
Vincent Dullinger
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari
7-3 (W-L)
Vincent Dullinger
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1536 · Vincent Dullinger 1534
| Francesco Ferrari | Vincent Dullinger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Vincent Dullinger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.8 | 10.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Ali Missoum M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Chepik M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Ghali Komat M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Caheer Warik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Denis Klok M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Andreas Messis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Vincent Dullinger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Nik Mikovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 10/06 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Anton Krondell M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Vincent Dullinger?
Our model gives 53% to Francesco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.