Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 15/07, 11:00
Prediction: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Jeremy Gschwendtner
Prediction summary
Winner
Filiberto Fumagalli
Jeremy Gschwendtner
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Filiberto Fumagalli
7-3 (W-L)
Jeremy Gschwendtner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filiberto Fumagalli 1552 · Jeremy Gschwendtner 1512
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Jeremy Gschwendtner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1552 vs 1512).
- Note: Jeremy Gschwendtner makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Jeremy Gschwendtner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-7.2 | 10.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 54% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Mathis Bondaz M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 14/06 | Ryan Ndualu M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Jeremy Gschwendtner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeremy Schifris M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Sebastian Gima M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filiberto Fumagalli vs Jeremy Gschwendtner?
Our model gives 56% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.