Tennis · ATP Bastad · 15/07, 11:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Estimated games
26.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1512 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1546
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-15.4 | 14.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.1
Over 22.5: 77% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 23% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Francisco Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 10/05 | Karen Khachanov ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Alexandre Muller ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 17/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Jaume Munar Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/05 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Bernabe Zapata Miralles Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
Our model gives 55% to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.