Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 15/07, 11:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Maria Golovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Ryser
Maria Golovina
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Ryser
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Golovina
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentina Ryser
1–0
Maria Golovina
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1576 · Maria Golovina 1477
| Valentina Ryser | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ryser (rating 1576 vs 1477).
- Valentina Ryser is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Valentina Ryser 1–0 Maria Golovina (1).
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Maria Golovina makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.3 | 10.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 57% |
| Break % | 61% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Valentina Ryser 1 – 0 Maria Golovina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentina Ryser 1–0 Maria Golovina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/25 ITF W100 Dubai | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Martyna Kubka W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Demi Tran W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Sana Garakani WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Maria Golovina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Xinxin Yao W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Meiling Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Maria Golovina?
Our model gives 65% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.