Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 15/07, 15:30
Prediction: Katarina Kuzmova vs Alba Rey Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarina Kuzmova
Alba Rey Garcia
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Katarina Kuzmova
7-3 (W-L)
Alba Rey Garcia
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarina Kuzmova
0–1
Alba Rey Garcia
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarina Kuzmova 1552 · Alba Rey Garcia 1491
| Katarina Kuzmova | Alba Rey Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katarina Kuzmova (rating 1552 vs 1491).
- Head-to-head: Katarina Kuzmova 0–1 Alba Rey Garcia (1).
- Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Katarina Kuzmova | Alba Rey Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.6 | 9.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Katarina Kuzmova 0 – 1 Alba Rey Garcia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarina Kuzmova 0–1 Alba Rey Garcia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/24 ITF W15 Ceuta | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarina Kuzmova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Elizabeth Coleman W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alba Rey Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Carolina Kuhl W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/05 | Leire San Jose W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarina Kuzmova vs Alba Rey Garcia?
Our model gives 70% to Katarina Kuzmova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.