Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 15/07, 14:00
Prediction: Ruien Zhang vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruien Zhang
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ruien Zhang
2-8 (W-L)
Tiphanie Lemaitre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruien Zhang 1453 · Tiphanie Lemaitre 1512
| Ruien Zhang | Tiphanie Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiphanie Lemaitre (rating 1453 vs 1512).
- Note: Ruien Zhang makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Tiphanie Lemaitre makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ruien Zhang | Tiphanie Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-10.6 | 9.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruien Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Jordina Font W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Abbagnato W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Oceane Babel W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Katerina Mandelikova W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Sofya Lansere W35 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Sofya Lansere W100 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 25/03 | Xiyu Wang W50 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Kristina Mladenovic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Zoziya Kardava W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 30/04 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/04 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruien Zhang vs Tiphanie Lemaitre?
Our model gives 59% to Tiphanie Lemaitre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.