Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 15/07, 15:30

Prediction: Chloe Noel vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Chloe Noel Meritxell Teixido Garcia
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Noel 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWW
Meritxell Teixido Garcia 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chloe Noel 1536 · Meritxell Teixido Garcia 1546
Chloe NoelMeritxell Teixido Garcia
Our model49%51%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Chloe NoelMeritxell Teixido Garcia
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11.5-9.810.5-9.4
Aces3.20.7
Double faults3.73.9
1st serve %66.9%53.9%
Break %54.4%60.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chloe Noel

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Stefaniya Pushkar
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-7 W
12/07 Polina Isakova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Matilde Jorge
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Andre Lukosiute
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 16-12 W
05/07 Emilija Tverijonaite
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Min Liu
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
21/06 Valentina Carreras Medina
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
18/06 Mia Slama
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Clemence Lesdos
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-1 16-6 W

Meritxell Teixido Garcia

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Maria De La Paz Alberto
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-6 W
12/07 Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 17-14 W
09/07 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Don Benito
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Iveta Dapkute
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-8 W
25/06 Elena Micic
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Sabine Rutlauka
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Ru Xi Wu
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Chelsea Fontenel
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Iveta Dapkute
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
15/06 Carlota Corte
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chloe Noel vs Meritxell Teixido Garcia?

Our model gives 62% to Chloe Noel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.