Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 15/07, 17:00

Prediction: Martyna Kubka vs Jimena Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
79% 21%
Martyna Kubka Jimena Gomez
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Martyna Kubka 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWL
Jimena Gomez 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martyna Kubka 1567 · Jimena Gomez 1468
Martyna KubkaJimena Gomez
Our model64%36%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martyna Kubka (rating 1567 vs 1468).
  • Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 45.1% break avg.
  • Martyna Kubka is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Martyna KubkaJimena Gomez
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71-1.3
Games (G-P)11.9-8.68.9-10.7
Aces6.10.7
Double faults1.21.3
1st serve %70.7%53.1%
Break %45.1%35.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martyna Kubka

LWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Valentina Ryser
W35 Don Benito
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Georgina Hays
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-2 W
08/07 Anna Shkutova
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Yeon Woo Ku
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
18/06 Alina Korneeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
14/06 Polina Iatcenko
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/06 Gabriela Knutson
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
12/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 14-10 W
11/06 Summer Yardley
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W

Jimena Gomez

WLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/06 Johanne C Svendsen
W15 Madrid
0-2 2-12 L
08/11 Alina Shcherbinina
UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/11 Jana Stojanova
UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
05/11 Enya Hamilton
UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
03/11 Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/11 Emily Golovanov
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
31/10 Lexie Weir
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
1-2 9-18 L
30/10 Julia Ionescu
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
29/10 Lexington Reed
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
2-1 12-12 W
27/10 Anna Perelman
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martyna Kubka vs Jimena Gomez?

Our model gives 79% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.