Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 16/07, 10:30
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
27.1Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1–0
Miomir Kecmanovic
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1540 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1524
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–0 Miomir Kecmanovic (1).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.5 | 1.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.6-16.5 | 14.2-14.9 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.1 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.6
Over 23.5: 73% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 27% · 1.80
H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1 – 0 Miomir Kecmanovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–0 Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/21 ATP Cordoba | 2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Zdenek Kolar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/06 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 30/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 32-30 | W |
| 28/05 | Jannik Sinner French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 24-19 | W |
| 26/05 | Jacob Fearnley French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Nuno Borges French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 24/05 | Fabian Marozsan French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 17/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Alejandro Tabilo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 52% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.