Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 16/07, 10:30
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Valentin Vacherot
Estimated games
26Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
4-6 (W-L)
Valentin Vacherot
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1498 · Valentin Vacherot 1544
| Yannick Hanfmann | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentin Vacherot (rating 1498 vs 1544).
- Valentin Vacherot dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 45.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-14 | 15-13.3 |
| Aces | 11.8 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 83.1% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 16.4% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +1.5
Over 24.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 39% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 23/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Fonseca ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Hamad Medjedovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
Valentin Vacherot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 24/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Alex De Minaur ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/04 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/04 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 24/03 | Arthur Fils ATP Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/03 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/03 | Mariano Navone ATP Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot?
Our model gives 52% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.