Tennis · M25 Louisville · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Jerry Roddick vs Luca Pow
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerry Roddick
Luca Pow
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jerry Roddick
3-7 (W-L)
Luca Pow
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerry Roddick 1476 · Luca Pow 1514
| Jerry Roddick | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luca Pow makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Jerry Roddick | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10 | 11.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerry Roddick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Wesley Cotton M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Evan Bynoe M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Christian Langmo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Daniel Milavsky M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Rafael De Alba M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Mees Rottgering M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Luca Pow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Petro Kuzmenok M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 15/01 | Karl Poling M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Aryan Shah M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 10/01 | Keegan Smith M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/01 | Bor Artnak M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerry Roddick vs Luca Pow?
Our model gives 61% to Luca Pow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.