Tennis · M25 Louisville · 15/07, 16:00

Prediction: Joshua Peck vs William Jansen

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Joshua Peck William Jansen
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joshua Peck 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLL
William Jansen 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joshua Peck 1486 · William Jansen 1518
Joshua PeckWilliam Jansen
Our model45%55%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Joshua PeckWilliam Jansen
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-1.1
Games (G-P)9.9-10.312.3-11.4
Aces4.68.5
Double faults3.43.4
1st serve %72.1%74.8%
Break %42.9%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joshua Peck

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval
1-2 11-15 L
25/06 Jack Satterfield
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Rishvanth Krishna
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Noble Renfrow
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Tanishk Konduri
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Evan Burnett
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
27/05 Iiro Vasa
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
26/05 Karl Kazuma Lee
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L
07/05 Anton Matusevich
M25 Nottingham
0-2 6-12 L
04/05 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Nottingham
2-1 10-9 W

William Jansen

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Felix Gill
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 15-18 L
06/07 Theo Papamalamis
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 18-15 W
05/07 Sam Ryan Ziegann
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Dev Javia
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 11-17 L
13/06 Remy Bertola
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 17-16 L
31/05 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
10/01 Sachin Palta
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/01 Jordan Chang
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/01 Liam Kilmer
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
04/01 Cyrus Ahmad
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joshua Peck vs William Jansen?

Our model gives 68% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.