Tennis · Challenger Granby · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Yuta Shimizu vs Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Shimizu
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Shimizu
7-3 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Shimizu 1540 · Justin Boulais 1493
| Yuta Shimizu | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Shimizu (rating 1540 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Yuta Shimizu | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.4 | 12.4-13.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 68% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Ryan Colby M25 Laval |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Dan Martin Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 03/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Andres Martin Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Shimizu vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 53% to Yuta Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.