Tennis · Challenger Granby · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Nicolas Arseneault
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolas Arseneault
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1499 · Nicolas Arseneault 1464
| Aleksandar Vukic | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.6 | 11-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | James Duckworth ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Raphael Collignon French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Henry Searle Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 06/01 | Alex Rybakov M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Our model gives 70% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.