Tennis · M25 Louisville · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs Jon Gamble
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Frusina
Jon Gamble
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Frusina
7-3 (W-L)
Jon Gamble
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1549 · Jon Gamble 1486
| Alexander Frusina | Jon Gamble | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Frusina (rating 1549 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Alexander Frusina | Jon Gamble | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.4 | 9.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Frusina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Jon Gamble
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicholas Mekhael UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Matthew Dubas UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Daniil Berezin UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Jordan Reznik UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs Jon Gamble?
Our model gives 72% to Alexander Frusina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.