Tennis · M15 Nova Gorica · 14/07, 09:30
Prediction: Samuel Rovai vs Leonardo Iemmi
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel Rovai
Leonardo Iemmi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Rovai
8-2 (W-L)
Leonardo Iemmi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel Rovai 1545 · Leonardo Iemmi 1414
| Samuel Rovai | Leonardo Iemmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuel Rovai (rating 1545 vs 1414).
- Samuel Rovai is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Samuel Rovai | Leonardo Iemmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.6 | 8.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Rovai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Joao Portugal UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Vid Mohar UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Nathan Mansfield UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Veljko Krstic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Cyrus Mahjoob UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Denver · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Jorge Robinson UTR Pro Denver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Nereo Suarez UTR Pro Denver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Dillon Beckles UTR Pro Denver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Leonardo Iemmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Nico Hipfl M25 Trento · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Noah Thurner ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/10 | Daniel Lechner ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin ITF M15 Bologna · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei ITF M15 Bologna · Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Rovai vs Leonardo Iemmi?
Our model gives 61% to Samuel Rovai, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.